Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump 55-42% among likely voters, little changed from 53-39% last month. In a multi-candidate horserace, Harris leads Trump 52-40% (49-37% in August), with three percent for the minor party candidates, according to a Siena College poll of New York State likely voters released Thursday.

Voters say they trust Harris – with a 53-44% favorability rating (53-43% last month) – more than Trump -39-57% favorability rating (39-59% last month) – on abortion (60-34%), democracy (56-40%) and the economy (52-45%). On immigration, Harris is trusted by 48%, and Trump by 47%. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand maintains a 23-point lead over her Republican opponent, first time candidate Mike Sapraicone. Voters continue to overwhelmingly support the proposed ERA constitutional amendment 64-23% (down slightly from 68-23%).

Gov. Kathy Hochul has a 34-54% favorability rating, down from 39-50% in August, and her job approval rating falls to 39-56%, down from 46-49% in August. Both are low water marks for Hochul.

“New York remains solidly ‘blue’ but perhaps not as deep blue as it has been in the last several presidential cycles. In the six presidential elections this century, Democrats have carried New York by at least 18 points, and at least 22 points in five of the six. President Biden won here by 23 points in 2020,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said. “With less than seven weeks till election day, Harris leads Trump head-to-head by 13 points, little changed from 14 points last month, and by 12 points in a multi-candidate race, unchanged from August.

“Despite the Democratic convention, the debate and numerous other events during the six weeks between Siena College polls, there has been little movement in the horse race or in either candidate’s favorability rating. While the race appears largely static, Harris did pick up support among Latino voters, leading Trump 56-39%, up from 48-47% in August,” Greenberg said. “Independents moved further in Trump’s direction, supporting him over Harris 58-34%, up from 47-40% last month. Interestingly, New York’s independent voters moved significantly in the Republican direction across several questions that will be on the ballot.”

“New Yorkers trust Harris more than Trump on abortion, democracy and the economy, and trust them equally on immigration. But there are huge partisan divides. Democrats trust Harris on all four issues by between 76 and 89 percent, and Republicans trust Trump by between 76 and 89 percent,” Greenberg said. “While independents trust Harris more on abortion by 50-42%, they trust Trump more on the other three by between 15 and 34 points.

“A plurality of voters, 43%, said the debate between Trump and Harris did not affect their vote in November, however, by 37-17% voters say the debate moved them to be more likely to support Harris than Trump,” Greenberg said. “Two thirds of voters want to see a second debate between the two, including 61% of Democrats, 69% of Republicans and 71% of independents.”